In Week 8, the Miami Dolphins travel north to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (2-4) with kickoff coming just after 8 PM from Heinz Field in Western Pennsylvania.
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Dolphins vs. Steelers - MNF Picks And Predictions Week 8
When this spread opened, the hometown Steelers were 15.5-point favorites at William Hill, which provides players with an NJ sportsbook bonus matched by very few operators in the state.
Judging by the line move, plenty of folks betting throughout the week wanted to lay so many points, even against winless Miami. The number was quickly bet down to around 14.5 and finally reached exactly 14 points around Thursday at William Hill NJ.
Dolphins Betting Preview Week 8
There isn't much to be happy about if you're a Dolphins fan other than the fact that the players on the field are clearly giving maximum effort every week, and it's led to covering the spread twice in a row. When it comes to overall team efficiency, the Dolphins rank dead last according to Football Outsiders.
They have huge trouble stopping the run especially, which may continue to haunt them on Monday night unless we get a repeat of last week's surprisingly stingy performance. Ryan Fitzpatrick gives Miami a better chance to win due to his experience with all kinds of rebuilding teams, but his gunslinger mentality also puts the offense in a vulnerable position.
Pittsburgh's defense is coming off a bye and ranks top 10 against the pass, posing even more issues for a team bereft of weapons. The good news is that Fitzpatrick did complete 25 of 35 passes in a strong performance last week against a good Buffalo defense.
Steelers Betting Preview Week 8
The Steelers are massive favorites coming off a bye and getting Mason Rudolph back under center after he's dealt with a concussion for the past few weeks. Pittsburgh has played solid football for the past month despite the injuries at quarterback and as strange as it sounds, can still go .500 or better with some luck.
We should expect running back James Conner to get most of the work against Miami's often-struggling run defense. Assuming Rudolph shows no ill-effects, the offense is set up to dictate control of the game and get Juju Smith-Schuster involved after he caught just one ball last week.
Aside from the offensive line and the ground game collapsing, the No. 1 wideout not doing much damage is one of the few ways the Dolphins would manage to keep this game close.
Week 8 Dolphins vs. Steelers MNF Betting Pick
It's easy to imagine a game plan in which the Steelers ride Conner for most of the evening and move down the field while grinding down the Miami defense. The Dolphins are one of three teams that allow over 400 yards per game and just one of two without a win yet this season.
Those two facts alone making selecting them extremely tough, but the number is still too inflated for our taste. On most occasions its ugly and it's resulted in a loss in all six games so far, but Miami has kept several games much closer than expected and as we said, have covered two straight weeks.
The Dolphins have actually done a decent job out-possessing opponents the past two weeks, and we think that keeps them in the game long enough to hold it under the two-TD spread. We'll take Miami for its third consecutive ATS (against the spread) victory while they're still getting two full touchdowns, which covers most of the popular key numbers for NFL margin of victory.
Pick: Miami Dolphins +14 (-132) - Place Bets At William Hill NJ
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Monday Night Football Best Bet For Week 8
Out of fear that the Steelers' running game will chew too much clock for the game to go over, we've shortened our time frame to the first half. Pittsburgh started MNF on a tear a couple of weeks back,m scoring 21 in the opening half. Last week, Miami managed two touchdowns in the second quarter.
With both teams well-rested, we expect some offense to find success early on, plus the number is strange. It's much more likely the total will be between 17-21 points, but the Over 22 selection leaves us two common totals of 23 and 24, plus anything higher.
Pick: First Half Over 22 (-110) - Bet on Dolphins vs. Steelers At William Hill
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