2020 Workday Charity Open Predictions - Picks For Muirfield Village

2020 Workday Charity Open Predictions - Picks For Muirfield Village

The PGA Tour is heading to Dublin, Ohio for the two tournaments in a row and we're prepping for the first event by offering some 2020 Workday Charity Open predictions!

This event will take place at Muirfield Village Golf Club, home of the Memorial Tournament, which will take place next week.

The Workday Charity Open was a last-minute addition to the revised PGA Tour schedule and will go off in place of the John Deere Classic, which usually takes place in Illinois. Instead, Muirfield Village was able to put on an extra event and logistically, it worked out perfectly.

The PGA Tour is one of the only professional sports leagues in the United States currently in operation and over the four weeks since the game has returned, online sportsbooks in New Jersey and several other states are seeing tons of action from the betting public.

Here, we'll preview the course and provide some 2020 Workday Charity Open betting picks for the upcoming week!

2020 Workday Charity Open Tips - Golf Betting Strategy

Before committing any money to Workday Charity Open predictions, it's a good idea to get a feel for the layout of the course and any key stats that will be vital this week at Muirfield, which was designed by the great Jack Nicklaus.

After a few weeks of playing on short tracks, things are starting to open up a bit in terms of length. At Muirfield Village, Par is 72 and it plays just under 7,400 yards, but we can't rely as much on the specs this week as we will next week, when the Memorial Tournament is being played.

That is because the PGA is expected to shorten the rough and slow the greens down a little bit for the Workday event to give the track a different look. This week's tournament will also utilize some alternative tee-box locations to protect the course for the following event.

With that said, here are some key stats we landed on:

  • Strokes Gained: Tee-To-Green
  • SG: Approach
  • Greens In Regulation Percentage
  • Par 4 Efficiency (450-500 Yards)
  • Par 5 Birdie Or Better
  • SG: Putting

For more tips and information on how to wager on the PGA Tour, visit our guide to Golf Betting Strategy!

2020 Workday Charity Open Predictions - Golf Betting Picks

Workday OddsBet On Workday Charity Open At BetMGM!

Getting off the tee and safely onto the fairway is always important but it should play an even bigger role this week because Muirfield Village is a largely a second-shot course and being able to find greens in regulation with some good approach shots is a huge indicator of success.

The slow greens will allow for scoring so taking advantage of Par 5 holes will be another major factor, as will iron play on approach and off the tee since many golfers club down to avoid the rough at Muirfield.

With that said, don't eliminate big hitters for this event because the rough is expected to be shortened, making missed fairways a bit more forgivable than they will be next week during the Memorial.

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Once you're signed up, consider the following when making 2020 Workday Charity Open predictions:

    • Hideki Matsuyama To Win (+1400)

    It took Matsuyama a few weeks following the restart to hit his stride but he could be ready to break out just as the PGA Tour reaches Muirfield Village, a place where he's had success. He has four top-15 finishes (three top 10s) at the Memorial including a win in 2014 and a sixth-place finish last year, so Hideki pretty much loves the place.

    Matsuyama fits the bill for Muirfield as one of the very ball strikers and tee-to-green players in the world. He ranks top 10 on tour in Strokes Gained: Approach, top 20 in Greens in Regulation Percentage, and knows how to make birdies on the Par 5s.

    Where the concern comes in is with the putter but the hope here is that the softer greens can help even out things for Matsuyama, who may be worth a look at one of your Workday Charity Open predictions after hitting his stride at the Rocket Mortgage. He's also even-money to finish top 20, which feels like a great bet this week. 

    • Justin Rose To Win (+2600)

    After making note of Matsuyama's incredible history at this course, we'd be remiss if we didn't consider Justin Rose for one of our Workday Charity Open betting picks for the exact same reason. Rose has been a dynamo at Muirfield Village and with some room on the leaderboard this week, we think he winds up near the top.

    Rose has played 13 events at this track since 2004, making the cut 10 times. Incredibly, nine of those finishes were in the top 25 and seven were inside the top 10, including a win in 2010 and second place in 2015. In the last two editions of the Memorial Tournament, Rose finished 13th in 2019 and sixth in 2018.

    The Englishman ranks fourth on tour in Par 5 Birdie Or Better Percentage and in his two starts since the restart, Rose is hitting greens in regulation more often than he was before. Last year, Rose was 15th in the field in SG: Putting and we expect him to rule these slow greens and make birdies.

    While we think he's got a chance to win, we also like the idea of playing things far more safe with rose and adding a top 30 bet at -120 in case he hangs near the top of the leaderboard but isn't the first name.

    Workday Charity Open 2020 Picks - Finishing Position Golf Betting

    If you're looking for alternative betting options outside of selecting outright winners, one of the areas with the most potential for profits is picking finishing positions.

    These wagers are a great way to maintain a rooting interest throughout the entire tournament and gives you a better chance at actually collecting some money on Sunday afternoon, even if the lines are much more modest than nailing a pre-tournament winner.

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    Think about some of the following golfers if making Workday Charity Open picks on finishing position at Muirfield Golf Club:

    • Patrick Cantlay Top 10 (+188)

    The winner of the Memorial Tournament in 2019 (and the fourth-place finisher in 2018) makes his return, and who's to say he can't rule Muirfield Village two years in a row? Cantlay went -19 including an 8-under 64 on Sunday to take home the hardware, so the course domination and good vibes are already there.

    Cantlay only played one event since the restart but it seemed to go pretty well. He shot four rounds in the 60s and placed T-11th at the Travelers and will be rested after not playing at the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

    Statistically, you can't do much better than Cantlay these next two weeks at Muirfield. He's a top 10 player in both Strokes Gained: Approach and SG: Tee-To-Green while also ranking third in Par 5 Birdie Or Better Percentage.

    There's no doubt the ninth-ranked player in the world will be a pretty trendy selection but that's for good reason, so think about Cantlay as one of your Workday Charity Open predictions. Since he hasn't played quite as much, we'll go with a top 10 at +188, although a top 20 at even money would be fine as well. 

    • Brooks Koepka Top 20 (+100)

    Koepka withdrew from the Travelers following a positive COVID-19 test from his caddie, but we're looking for him to return in a big way this week. 

    In his last event, Koepka placed T-7th at the RBC Heritage and he'll finally get to open things up with his driver a bit at the Workday Charity Open. Most of this season's stats aren't pretty but it's only a matter of time until we see the fifth-ranked player in the world kick it into gear, much like Dustin Johnson and Bryson DeChambeau have. Plus, all the talk about DeChambeau's weight gain and drives are sure to needle at Koepka, whether he'd ever admit it or not. 

    The best Koepka has ever finished at this course is 31st but with the shortened rough and slower greens for this event, the advantage goes to long hitters and we've got a well-rested one who will definitely be ready to attack Muirfield Village. At even money for top 20, he's one to keep in mind in a field that is missing the above-mentioned big hitters in addition to Rory McIlroy.

    • Joaquin Niemann Top 30 (+125)

    After pacing T-32nd at the Charles Shwab, Niemann finished in the top 5 at the RBC Heritage. The 21-year-old then shot three rounds in the 60s at the Travelers before posting a 75 on Sunday, perhaps a bit burnt out from the three-week dash out of the gate.

    After a week off, we like Niemann to bounce back with a strong statistical profile and a slid T-27th finish at the Memorial last year at Muirfield Village. He ranks top 20 in SG: Tee-To-Green and SG: Approach and with a little putting improvement can definitely be considered for your Workday Charity Open predictions if you're looking for a top-30 finisher at plus-money.

    2020 Workday Charity Open Matchup Picks

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    • Jordan Spieth (-137) vs. Louis Oosthuizen

    Jordan Spieth has struggled to put it all together since the restart but for the next two weeks, he'll at least be in a place where he's comfortable. Spieth has made six of seven cuts at Muirfield Village and posted four top 20s since 2014 including a seventh-place finish last year.

    Spieth ranked top 10 in the field at the Memorial Tournament last year, and the greens are expected to be even slower this week for one of the game's best putters. For all of his so-so results, Spieth is decent at making birdies on Par 5s and ranked top 20 on approach at the Travelers Championship.

    We normally suggest fading golfers on head-to-head plays but this time around, this is as much a wager on Spieth as it is a fade of Oosthuizen. The South African has struggled since the return and his stats don't seem to match up as well as his opponent in this case.

    2020 Workday Charity Open Best Bets

    • Hideki Matsuyama To Win (+1400), Top 20 (+100)
    • Justin Rose To Win (+2600), Top 30 (-120)
    • Patrick Cantlay Top 10 (+188)
    • Brooks Koepka Top 20 (+100)
    • Viktor Hovland Top 20 (+163)
    • Joaquin Niemann Top 30 (+125)
    • Jordan Spieth (-137) vs. Louis Oosthuizen (Tie No Bet)
    • Scott Stallings (-110) vs. Russell Henley (Tie No Bet)

    We will continue to add and update selections until players tee off on Thursday, so check back throughout the week once all of the 2020 Workday Charity Open betting odds are posted!

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    About Brian Sausa

    Brian Sausa is BonusSeeker’s Copy Editor and lead sports betting pundit. A journalism graduate with an extensive sports background, Brian has been employed by multiple professional leagues including MLB, MiLB (Minor League Baseball), and the NHL.

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