The National Football League is ready to crown a champion and we are celebrating the end of the season by making some Super Bowl prop bet predictions!
There's no debate about the fact that Super Bowl Sunday is the busiest day of the year for online sportsbooks in New Jersey along with betting sites in any state where wagering is legal. Between the size of the audience and the number of markets being offered for this game, the amount of action on this one day alone is simply staggering.
And it goes far beyond the standard moneylines, spreads, and totals, because we know the Super Bowl is all about the props. Sportsbooks offer a huge range of betting options for every single NFL game throughout the season, but things reach a whole new level for the Super Bowl.
Overall, there are dozens of markets and hundreds, if not thousands, of individual options that can be chosen from at most of these sites. Whether you're a die-hard football fan, a casual observer, or checking out a game for the very first time, there's a prop betting market for everyone.
Here, we'll go through the different types of prop bets that exist and single out a few categories to make some Super Bowl prop predictions and help you get ready for the big game! If you are on the hunt for traditional predictions such as the spread and total, you can check out our original Super Bowl 55 predictions article.
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2021 Super Bowl Prop Betting Picks | Best Prop Bets For Super Bowl 55
When it comes to the last game of the NFL season, there are a seemingly endless amount of Super Bowl prop betting odds to choose from. Every facet of the game is covered from the opening coin toss to the Gatorade bath at the end, and everything in between.
Generally, there are three types of prop bets out there: player props, game props, and novelty props. Under these general guidelines, there are dozens and dozens of markets and a seemingly countless number of specific options to choose from.
We've done the work of going through every market on a number of online betting sites and pulling out a few selections in every category. Consider the following 2021 Super Bowl prop bets, but also don't be afraid to visit these sportsbooks and find your own!
Super Bowl Player Prop Picks
- Leonard Fournette Over 11.5 Rushing Attempts (-105 at BetMGM)
Fournette has eclipsed this number in every playoff game this season, including getting 12 carries in the NFC title game. Ronald Jones' involvement in the offense could complicate things but if Fournette is effective, Tampa Bay is likely to stick with what is working.
- Travis Kelce Anytime TD (-165 at BetMGM)
These odds aren't all that attractive but the likelihood that Kelce scores a touchdown may be enough to swallow the juice here. The Chiefs' tight end has found paydirt in six straight games, with the last time he didn't score a touchdown being the Week 12 win over Tampa Bay. We're willing to bet they don't keep him out of the endzone twice this year.
- Tom Brady Under 296.5 Passing Yards (-110 at FanDuel)
Brady threw for 345 yards in the Week 12 matchup but this line is so much lower that we can't help but think it's fishy. But looking back, Tampa Bay spotted Kansas City a 17-point lead and couldn't really afford to run the ball the same way.
An over here would mean this is an absolute shootout or that the Bucs are way behind, which they haven't been all postseason. Brady has been kept at 280 yards or less in each of the last two postseason games, for what it's worth.
- Mahomes To Record 300+ Passing Yards & Chiefs Win (+150 at DraftKings)
Player prop parlays are a market that is not normally available on a daily basis, but is during the time leading up to the Super Bowl. With this example, the two results go hand-in-hand and we like our odds at +150.
Mahomes' passing total is set at 325 yards, so this wager allows you to shave off some of that. Plus, if the Chiefs are going to win it will involve Mahomes having a pretty big day so we think these two things are correlated. When these two played in Week 12, Mahomes had well over 450 yards through the air.
Super Bowl Game Props Picks
- Chiefs Winning Margin 1-13 Points (+140 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
Most props don't have anything to do with the final outcome of the game but there are some that do, including the winning margin markets. On FanDuel, one of the options is four-way winning margin, and we think it's perfect for this game.
However this game goes, we can't see it being a complete blowout. So whether you like the Chiefs or Bucs, this market on FanDuel is a great way to add extra value to your pick. In the case of Kansas City, which is who we are going with, it also eliminates the spread in the event the game is closer than a field goal.
- Length Of Longest Drive: 7+ Minutes (+100 at BetMGM)
With two explosive offenses set to face off, all signs point to short scoring drives. But there needs to be something said for each of these teams wanting to keep the other off the field for an extended period of time. This can lead to taking things slower than normal and attempting to possess the ball on a long scoring drive.
Most scoring drives in this game are likely to be lightning-quick, we get it. But it's entirely plausible that one of these two gets stuck deep in their own end and it takes a little while to move down the field. It only needs to happen once to pay out even money.
- Team With Longest Drive (Yards): Chiefs (-130 at DraftKings)
There isn't much to go on here, as it's one of those markets where you just choose a team and hope you're right. With the strength of Kansas City's offense, it's entirely possible that this team puts together an extremely long drive at some point. Tampa could do the same, but we'll side with the favorites on this one.
- Punt To Be Downed Inside The Five-Yard Line: Yes (+330 at DraftKings)
If you are into chasing props with larger payouts than most, look in this direction. It will take some luck for sure since punts may be hard to come by but if someone stalls out near midfield, this one is possible and it's a great payout.
If nothing else, it will be fun to wait with baited breath each time someone punts, hoping the returner lets the ball drop and the kicking team's gunners can down it close to the end zone.
Super Bowl Novelty Prop Predictions
- Coin Toss Outcome: Tails (-103 at FanDuel)
We wouldn't recommend betting the coin toss, and most pro bettors wouldn't either because of the fact that the odds you pay doesn't indicate that you're getting the correct value. With that said, people love to bet on it for some immediate satisfaction (or sadness) before the game starts.
In theory, the coin toss would alternate each year between heads and tails, but we haven't seen that lately. Anyone who says they have a system for this other than going back to previous years' results is lying to you.
Before last year's tails, it was two straight heads. Before that, it was four straight tails and prior to that, it was five straight heads. What does this mean? Who knows, but give us tails again.
- Total Players To Attempt A Pass: Over 2.5 (+165 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
Trick play, anyone? We know the two quarterbacks will be throwing the ball, but will anyone else? The odds of +165 are pretty juicy, and we're willing to take the chance that all the stops are pulled out in this one.
The last time these teams played, the Chiefs actually let Travis Kelce throw a pass, and we've seen other Chiefs attempt one as well. And when Brady was with the Patriots, we've seen other players on the offense throw passes in the Super Bowl. It may be worth the risk to see if the gimmick plays come out and someone else gets a pass attempt.
- First Offensive Play From Scrimmage: Run (+100 at DraftKings)
With these two teams, we are likely to see more passes than runs overall. And that's exactly why the pass is favored. While it would be no surprise to see offenses throwing it around right away, we're willing to bet a run is the very first play from scrimmage because of the even-money payout.
This depends on who gets the ball first as well, since Tampa Bay is more likely to run the ball at the start than the Chiefs are. Either way, this is one way to get a win right off the bat that doesn't involve a coin toss.