Week 10 of the NFL season is set to begin and as always, we are providing Thursday Night Football predictions!
This time around, it's an AFC West battle as the Los Angeles Chargers (4-5) visit the Oakland Raiders (4-4) at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum in Oakland, California with kickoff just after 5 PM local time.
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Chargers vs. Raiders Betting Prediction Week 10
The Raiders opened as one-point favorites but early in the week, it's the Chargers that are currently listed at -1 (-110) at William Hill NJ. Rivalry games tend to be hard to predict, as do games between two inconsistent teams as we have here. Recency bias favors both, so which way do we go with our Week 10 TNF picks?
Chargers Betting Preview Week 10
Los Angeles is a confusing 4-5 in the standings and an even more confusing 3-4-2 against the spread. Part of the problem has been the struggling running game, which ranks among the league's worst, but there are signs things could be changing for the better.
For the first time all season, the Chargers got to see their star runner break out, resulting in a shocking and important win. Melvin Gordon accounted for 109 all-purpose yards and two touchdowns in a 26-11 victory over Green Bay. Consistent production from Gordon is the first thing the Chargers need to keep the team back in the playoff hunt.
It was Los Angeles' second-straight win in which the defense absolutely dominated, which could be the deciding factor for making NFL picks this week. The Chargers' defense ranks seventh in yards allowed per game while Oakland moved the ball with ease on the 29th-ranked Lions.
Raiders Betting Preview Week 10
Oakland returned home after six weeks and it was easy to tell they were ready for it, proving why it was the favorite going in with 450 yards of offense in a 31-24 win. With a rejuvenated Chargers team coming in on Thursday night, can the Raiders make it two in a row?
Much of that will depend on whether the ground game gets moving behind Josh Jacobs, who totaled 127 rushing yards in Week 9. The Chargers are a pretty week run defense according to DVOA metrics from Football Outsiders, so we should expect the Raiders to establish the run with Jacobs once again.
The Raiders, which are 5-3 against the spread, haven't turned the ball over in two straight games and faced a Chargers defense in the bottom half of the league in takeaways.
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Chargers vs. Raiders Prediction
The version of the Chargers that stuffed Green Bay's offense in a locker and went for 159 rushing yards is absolutely the better team in this matchup. The Raiders' opponents average 6.3 yards per play, the second-highest amount in the league. After beating the likes of Chicago and the Packers, Los Angeles is in for a pleasant surprise on Thursday.
Oakland has the home-field advantage on a short week but its offensive line is banged up and Los Angeles is just starting to heat up. The way we see it, the Chargers have a better chance at stopping Oakland's offense than the other way around.
Pick: Los Angeles Chargers -1 (-115) - Place TNF Bets at William Hill NJ
NFL Week 10 Picks: Thursday Night Football Props
As we say every Thursday, playing on just a couple of days' rest changes the game plan and preparation, leading teams to keep things simple. In this case, that means the Raiders and Chargers sticking with their strengths and running the football early in the ballgame.
It feels likely that these teams will be able to gain yardage on the ground a little bit since that's where an effective offense starts for both sides. If that's the case, we could be talking about first downs, long drives and time ticking away.
For that reason, the smart play for us is the first-half under as both teams take some time to open things up offensively on a short week. The number is 23 at William Hill but shop around for any extra points at alternative NJ betting sites.
Pick: Chargers/Raiders First Half Under 23 (-105) - Place Your Bet At William Hill NJ
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