NFL Betting Super Bowl LIII - Picks Against BetStars NJ’s Spread

NFL Betting Super Bowl LIII - Picks Against BetStars NJ’s Spread

The NFL season is coming to a close with the biggest game of the year as we near Super Bowl LIII on Feb. 3. The New England Patriots take on the Los Angeles Rams in Atlanta, the same city where these two franchises met in 2002 at Super Bowl XXXVI.

NJ sports betting players wanting a chance to win while taking in the action on Sunday have come to the right place. Using NFL lines from BetStars NJ, we provide ATS picks on each game along with a teaser you can take a chance on as well.

The Super Bowl isn’t just a game, it’s an event. There’s an extravagant halftime show, people gather to watch at parties, and many fans love to place bets on the game for a little rooting interest. And if you want to wager on the Super Bowl, bet at BetStars Sportsbook.

Be sure to also check out the best NJ sports betting sites for Super Bowl prop bets. And see which NJ sportsbooks have the best Super Bowl odds.

Betting On The NFL For Super Bowl Sunday, Feb. 3

According to the BetStars app, the Patriots are 2.5-point favorites over the Rams with the over/under set at 56.5 for Super Bowl LIII. So which side are we going with to take home the Vince Lombardi Trophy?

NFL Super Bowl Picks By Brian Sausa, Lines Courtesy of BetStars NJ Sportsbook

BetStars’ lines as of Feb 1st at 11 am*

One Jar of Sauce: Pick Against The Spread (ATS) For Super Bowl Sunday

HOW THEY GOT HERE: New England motored through the Chargers in the Divisional Round before having to go on the road in the AFC Championship game. The Patriots took a 14-0 lead into halftime against Kansas City before the shootout began in the second half as the Chiefs threatened to avenge an early-season loss at Foxboro in a major way. New England allowed 24 points in the fourth quarter, but Tom Brady engineered two touchdown drives late in the game. Reminiscent of Super Bowl LI, the Patriots got the ball first in overtime and drove right down the field once again, with a Red Burkhead touchdown sealing New England’s ninth trip to the big game since 2002. Those who took the BetStars Sportsbook over/under went through an emotional rollercoaster.

Los Angeles was able to use its strength and powered past the Cowboys with the running game in the Divisional Round before a thrilling overtime win against the Saints in the NFL title game, sealed by ‘Greg The Leg’ Zuerlein’s 57-yard field goal. Los Angeles overcame a 14-0 deficit at the start before receiving some incredible luck at the end thanks to the officials, but in-between were able to stick around despite not being able to run the ball. Quarterback Jared Goff grew up before our eyes while the Rams’ defense bent, but crucially didn’t break before regaining its footing late in the game and earning a trip to Atlanta for a rematch of Super Bowl XXXVI (although they were the St. Louis Rams).

How The Patriots Will Win

Sometimes the best answer is the simplest answer because all New England really needs to do is the same exact thing it’s been doing this entire regular season and playoffs. Despite Brady being the greatest quarterback of all time, the Patriots have been a running team all season long. They were fifth in the NFL in rushing during the regular season while Brady orchestrated the short-passing game to perfection. Brady’s efficient dismantling of defenses compliments the Sony Michel-led rushing attack to build a dynamic offense that is seemingly unstoppable at times. Clock-killing drives that result in seven points are likely once again a huge part of the Patriots’ plan to win its sixth title in nearly two decades.

How The Rams Will Win

The Rams are terrific, as evidenced by them winning the NFC title (sorry Saints fans) and being less than a field-goal underdog in the Super Bowl. If there’s any young coach that would be labeled a ‘mastermind’ similar to Belichick, it’s Sean McVay. He brings one of the league’s most prolific offenses and one of its most feared defenses into Atlanta, and McVay surely knows it’ll take both to beat Brady & Co. Los Angeles needs to not only get to Brady in the pocket and slow down New England’s versatile offensive attack, but they’ll need to re-establish the run game with Todd Gurley in order to limit Brady’s times with the ball. It’s easier said than done, but Los Angeles’ ability to churn out yards on the ground consistently could be the difference.

Super Bowl LIII ATS Pick

As mentioned, the BetStars app has the Patriots as 2.5-point favorites. As Divisional Round weekend rolled around, it looked like the Patriots could be in trouble with the Chargers, a complete team which dominated on the road this season. New England proceeded to absolutely dominate. After going 3-5 away from Foxboro, many (myself included) thought the Chiefs were destined to deny the Patriots a Super Bowl bid in the AFC title game. Once again, New England managed to emerge victoriously. In the end, it all feels like deja vu, and that ending feels like the most likely outcome once again.

There is no questioning the Rams’ talent level as a team, but intangibles and experience play a role. Tom Brady is making his ninth Super Bowl appearance in 18 seasons, seeking ring No. 6. He and Belichick continuously adapt and it shows in New England’s success, with the pair going through more postseason games together than any player/coach combination in NFL history. The margin for error against this team is so small, as we saw in the AFC Championship with Kansas City and two years ago in the Super Bowl against the Falcons.

McVay has had two weeks to analyze the Pats’ dynamic offense, but that goes both ways and I think the Patriots’ offense is simply too dynamic to prepare for in its current form. Belichick and offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels are going to utilize Michel in the power running game behind a resurgent and dominant offensive line. The likes of James White, Julian Edelman, Rob Gronkowski, Kevin Hogan and Phillip Dorsett will be used in the passing game, which could see many one-on-one coverages. Brady is going to perfectly execute the death by a thousand cuts he’s performed over and over through the years, and it’ll be enough for a close Patriots victory. Shades of 2002 as New England beats the Rams in the Super Bowl once again. Patriots win Super Bowl LIII, 29-26

Exotic Bet Of The Week: 2-Team Teaser (Super Bowl Sunday Edition)

*A teaser allows you to alter the original spread by a certain number of points. When using three teams, the player is gifted 10 points in each game to add onto whichever end of the spread they choose. When using two teams, the player gets either 6, 6.5 or 7 points to work with, depending on what you’re willing to pay.

EXAMPLE: Let’s say Team A is a 7.5-point favorite this week (-7.5), which makes Team B 7.5-point underdogs (+7.5). By using this game in a 2-team teaser, we have 6 points to use against the spread either way we choose. Either  Team B can have 6 points added to make them +13.5, or Team A’s spread can be lowered by 6 points, leaving them at -1.5 to cover. For the Super Bowl, we will use the spread and the total as the two sources of our picks.*

Super Bowl Sunday 2-Team Teaser (6-point teaser odds are -120)

  • Rams +8.5 (originally +2.5)
  • Patriots/Rams Under 62.5 (originally over/under 56.5)

Using the BetStars NJ Sportsbook lines, we have crafted a two-team teaser you can feel confident in going into Super Bowl Sunday. Despite feeling confident the Patriots will win this game, I’m also confident they won’t win in blowout fashion. None of New England’s Super Bowls (win or lose) have ended with more than eight points between the two teams. We can also expect to see a game in which time of possession plays a major role. The under is certainly a scary proposition with these offenses, especially if you were an under bettor for an AFC Championship game that exploded with points in the second half. Still, 62.5 feels like enough points in this one while the Rams cover +8.5 in Super Bowl LIII.

Best of luck!

 

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