The long National Football League offseason is officially over and we are here to make Week 1 NFL predictions to help ring in the 2019 schedule!
The arrival of pro football marks the busiest time of the gambling year for all sportsbooks, but especially mobile platforms. Sites in New Jersey and Pennsylvania are offering players dozens of different markets and hundreds of options for every single game, a service that land-based sportsbooks just can't provide.
The best way to give yourself a leg up to begin the season is to create a new account at one (or several) of the many well-known platforms to take advantage of generous welcome bonuses, awesome promotions and more NFL betting lines than you can ever imagine.
NFL Betting Tips To Remember For Week 1
How you go about making NFL betting picks throughout the season changes depending on the week and time of year. When it comes to the opening game of the season, there is very little reliable information to go on because no games have been played.
For the most part, we are looking at last year's results and trying to decide whether those carry across the summer to a new season. The first few weeks of the NFL schedule features many casual bettors losing money after not doing their research and understanding how things work at the beginning of the season.
Below are a couple of NFL betting tips to keep in mind when placing wagers at the start of the season.
- Week 1 Is a Crapshoot
Keep in mind that nobody has a great handle on things at the start of the season. Not the oddsmakers, not sharp bettors and especially not the public. Don't blindly follow an “expert” online, the unknowledgeable masses or betting trends that encompass last season's results. Inform yourself with line movement, offseason changes for both teams and other valuable tidbits (the weather, injuries, etc) and make a pick regardless of whether the public or sharps agree.
- Line Movement Is Key
NFL line movement is always one of the most important things to pay attention to, but it's worth noting early in every season. In many cases, the public sides with big-name teams and favorites with little substantial information to go on. This can skew lines and either take away or create value depending on the side. Know which way your line is trending before determining whether it has enough value for you to place a bet.
- Bet Small At The Start
You've been waiting all summer to bet on football and you want to go big, I get it. Just remember our first tip and remind yourself that the first few weeks are a guessing game. Dip your toes in the water and make your Week 1 NFL predictions, but keep your bets modest while you're figuring out the identity of some of these teams. Most Week 1 bets don't feel comfortable to make, and that's how it should be, but it doesn't mean blow through your budget too soon.
- Value In Alternative Markets
The spreads and totals of these games have been out for months, being poured over by oddsmakers, pro bettors and the public. Many of the top sports betting sites in NJ and PA have hundreds of options in a wide variety of markets to choose from. Whether your specialty is game/player props, quarters, halves, live betting or something else, there's a market for you. And you can bet those odds haven't been tinkered with as much as conventional moneylines, spreads and totals.
NFL Week 1 Predictions: Jets, Ravens And Seahawks Primed For Big Starts
NFL Picks Week 1: Ravens vs Dolphins Prediction
Miami is slated to be the worst team in the AFC East, and we are buying into that narrative from the start. The Dolphins have traded key pieces on both sides of the ball as recently as this week in an apparent attempt to start tanking the season and have very little protection for QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, so it's a tough team to believe in.
This is a game that appears so simple to call that it's important to not overthink. Baltimore opened up as slight road favorites, but that number quickly ballooned to seven points as the public and sharp bettors appear to be on the same page for the most part. With the spread back below a touchdown, we like Baltimore to cover as Lamar Jackson and Mark Ingram II lead the running game and wear down a lowly Dolphins defense.
The humidity in South Florida is always a concern for road teams early on, but the Ravens have been practicing in hot weather and had all summer to prepare for a lesser opponent. The public and sharp bettors appear to be on the same page for the most part, and this is a game that appears so simple to call it's important to not overthink.
Pick: Ravens -6.5 (-120) - Bet on Ravens-Dolphins at FanDuel NJ
This may not be the No.1 contest from the Week 1 schedule on your list, but it could be one of the more underrated games of the week. The public is fading the Jets a bit, but we found some value on the favorite by looking at the ‘Winning Margin' market on FanDuel, which has quickly become one of the best PA sportsbooks.
The Jets have improved vastly on both sides of the ball and aren't the same 4-12 team from a season ago. With new weapons for QB Sam Darnold on offense like Le'Veon Bell and Jamison Crowder, the Jets' offense is a match for Buffalo's stingy defense. On the other side of the ball, Bills second-year QB Josh Allen doesn't have quite as many resources at his disposal and faces a re-vamped New York defense on the road.
We like the Jets to pull out a win in the opening game of its new regime, but expect a close game since we are dealing with Week 1 and two divisional opponents. Rather than giving away -2.5 (-120), we're taking the home team to win by 1-13 points at more profitable +150 odds.
Pick: Jets Win By 1-13 Points (+150) - Bet on Jets-Bills At FanDuel PA
NFL Picks Week 1: Seahawks vs Bengals Prediction
As 9.5-point favorites, the Seahawks and giving away quite a bit, even to a Bengals team many expect to finish at the bottom of the AFC North. Thanks to one of the many markets offered at DraftKings Sportsbook, we have circumvented the spread and still managed favorable odds by making a pick on the total as well.
Seattle is a run-heavy offense with a lack of weapons and Cincinnati is missing its best player in A.J. Green, so why the over 43.5?
The Bengals haven't added much personnel help from one of the league's worst rushing defenses, and the Seahawks are going to be able to move the ball. That doesn't even factor in Russell Wilson's play-making abilities, which he further displayed with little receiving help in 2018. On the other side, Cincinnati and its new head coach has game-planned for months to go on the road in Seattle and surely has a few tricks up his sleeve to contribute to our total.
Seattle has won 14 straight September home games and both teams have a recent history of going over the total in Week 1, bringing us to our 'Game Parlay' pick.