The second spot in the AFC championship game will be decided on Sunday afternoon at Arrowhead Stadium, and we've got Texans vs. Chiefs predictions to help you get your bets straight before kickoff!
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Texans vs. Chiefs Predictions: 2020 NFL Playoff Betting Odds, Pick For Divisional Round
After overcoming a 16-point deficit in an overtime win during Wild Card weekend, the Texans are traveling to Kansas City as double-digit underdogs, according to odds from most NJ betting sites. The line opened at Chiefs -8 and currently sits at -9.5 on many books, but Kansas City has been pushed to -10 currently while the total opened in the high-40s and has since reached 51 points at SugarHouse.
In Week 6, Houston fell behind 17-3 early but stunned Kansas City with 20 points in the second quarter en route to a 31-24 win at Arrowhead. Now, Watson and the Texans return for round two in the postseason.
Teams that have defeated the Chiefs this season have done soo because they successfully ran the football. Houston notched 192 yards on the ground behind Carlos Hyde while Watson threw for 280 more, and those 472 total yards allowed the Texans to possess the ball for nearly 40 minutes of the game.
One should expect a similar game plan at Arrowhead on Sunday since the best way to beat Patrick Mahomes is to keep him off the field. On Kansas City's side, this group is fully healthy and riding a winning streak that led to an unlikely first-round bye during the Wild Card round.
According to Football Outsiders, the Chiefs rank third in offense DVOA with a unit led by Mahomes and featuring the NFL's best tight end in Travis Kelce and one of the league's most dynamic players in Tyreke Hill, who accounted for two scores in Week 6.
For what it's worth, the Chiefs are 10-5-1 against the spread this season, including 4-3-1 at home. The Texans were mediocre in this category, although five of its eight ATS wins came on the road.
2020 NFL Playoff Predictions: Divisional Round Picks Against The Spread For Texans vs. Chiefs
It's always fun when a rematch happens in the postseason. Will Mahomes and the Chiefs defend home field this time around? We think so because all the trends point toward Andry Reid teams with extra rest, but we are going against some of those stats to say Houston can still cover this massive spread.
Many are making the point that Kansas city isn't the same team it was in Week 6, which is completely true. The defense ranks top 10 in scoring has made a huge turnaround during the six-game win streak to close the season. Also, the likes of Mahomes and Hill (among others) are fully healthy.
It makes sense the Chiefs are such huge favorites on Sunday but still, the Texans managed to win that Week 6 despite a rocky start from Watson and three turnovers. It starts with the running game, which will help Houston control the clock once again, and it doesn't hurt that deep threat WR Will Fuller V is expected to play after missing the Wild Card game.
Not only does the offense immediately becomes more dynamic when the attention can't be focused on DeAndre Hopkins alone, but it should also be noted that the Texans' defense also features a revamped secondary and key pieces that are now healthy.
For us, all of this means that even in a likely win for Kansas City, Houston is capable of keeping this one within striking distance and covering the double-digit number. Start your Sunday NFL divisional round predictions with the Texans and the under on a total that continues being inflated.
Pick: Houston Texans +10 (-110), Under 51 (-110) - Bet On Texans-Chiefs at SugarHouse NJ
Texans vs. Chiefs Picks: NFL Divisional Round Prop Bets For AFC Playoffs On Sunday
Because there are only two games per day and four over the course of the weekend, sites like SugarHouse Sportsbook are always coming up with new and inventive markets for NFL playoff prop bets. Many of these markets are available during the regular season, but the options definitely increase by a significant amount once Week 17 passes and the postseason arrives.
Below are a few options for Texans vs. Chiefs props to keep in mind for Sunday afternoon:
- Travis Kelce Over 5.5 Receptions (-134): Kelce had seven grabs for 70 yards last time against Houston, which isn't enough for the Texans to change their entire game plan just to guard him. The best tight end around will do his thing, however, and Mahomes will definitely send some targets his way. When he does, Kelce should get at least six catches on Sunday.
- Over 3.5 Successful Field Goals (+123): Harrison Butker has made multiple field goals on 10 occasions this season for the Chiefs and Kai'imi Fairbairn just made two last week for Houston, including a game-winner. If these offenses stall out at all on the opposite side of the field, Kickers should have a decent chance without too much wind t compete with. With the plus-money, we'll take ur shot at four field goals.
- Chiefs Lead At Half & Under 26.5 (+135): The Texans are notoriously slow starters, as was the case in Week 6, but we don't expect to see the same amount ofo scoring. even with these offenses, Chiefs games at Arrowhead tend to go under since Andy Reid took over. A relatively high-scoring half could still be under 27 total points.
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2020 NFL Playoff Bracket: How The Schedule Looks After Wild Card Weekend
As we make our way through the divisional round, the 2020 NFL playoff bracket will continue changing shape. After the weekend finishes, we'll be down to the final four teams and the last three games ofo the NFL season.
We've already seen several upsets and could be in store for more, so check out the entire NFL Divisional Round playoff schedule for Saturday and Sunday:
2020 NFL Divisional Round Schedule
- Vikings vs. 49ers (Levi's Stadium) - Saturday, January 11 at 4:35 PM
- Titans vs. Ravens (M&T Bank Stadium) Saturday, January 11 at 8:15 PM
- Texans vs. Chiefs (Arrowhead Stadium) Sunday, January 12 at 3:05 PM
- Seahawks vs. Packers (Lambeau Field) Sunday, January 12 at 6:40 PM
Looking for more information on wagering during the postseason? Check out our NFL playoffs betting guide for tips and strategies about how to win money on the road to Super Bowl 54!