Titans vs. Chiefs Playoff Picks – AFC Championship Predictions 2020

Brian Sausa, Last Updated: September 12th, 2024 - NJ Sports Betting - Free $3,250 For Sports Bets In New Jersey

There are only four teams left in the hunt for the Super Bowl 54 title and we’ve got NFL championship weekend predictions to celebrate the final multi-game Sunday of the season!

The 2020 AFC championship winner will be crowned when the Kansas City Chiefs host the sixth-seeded Tennessee Titans with kickoff set for 3:05 PM EST on Sunday, January 19 at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO.

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Titans vs. Chiefs Picks: 2020 AFC Title Game Predictions & Preview

Kansas City opened as seven-point favorites at NJ betting sites, and that number has stuck early in the week. The total currently sits up at 52, likely a reaction from the 35-32 Tennessee win in Week 10 combined with last week’s 82-point outburst at Arrowhead. Both teams rank pretty high when looking at DVOA metrics from Football Outsiders, so which direction do you go for your NFL conference championship predictions?

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What Tennessee did in Baltimore is mighty impressive. Admittedly, we didn’t think the Ravens would allow the Titans to do the exact same thing they did to the Patriots, but here we are. After another 200-yard rushing performance led by Derrick Henry, things come full-circle as Tennesse plays Kansas City in a rematch of the Week 10 game that sparked the Titans’ run to the postseason.

The Chiefs put up 51 points in their win over Houston but the Texans did still manage 192 yards on the ground. This part of the defense is what the Titans will absolutely look to exploit while picking their spots with Ryan Tannehill in the play-action passing game. For what it’s worth, Kansas City ranked top 10 in scoring defense this season (19.4 points per game).

Tennessee forced Lamar Jackson to make throws toward the outside, which he excels at far less than using the middle of the field. Unfortunately, Patrick Mahomes doesn’t have a weak part of the field you can force him to throw to, and Tennessee’s mediocre pass defense is likely to pay a severe price because of it.

While the Texans were in meltdown mode at Arrowhead, Mahomes was throwing for five touchdowns as the Chiefs scored touchdowns on SEVEN consecutive drives spanning the second and third quarters. Three of those scores went to tight end Travis Kelce, who dominated with 10 grabs and 134 yards despite dealing with a hamstring issue.

There’s little doubting the Titans will have success running the football and the Chiefs will be able to throw it around. So what does this all mean?

It feels like the team that finishes drives with touchdowns and controls the ball could be in phenomenal shape. Both of those stats point toward Tennessee since Mike Vrabel’s team leads the NFL in red-zone TD percentage and is the best ball-control team left in the playoffs.

The caveat, however, is that the Chiefs don’t need time on the clock to move the ball and score, so controlling the clock means far less this week than it did in the previous two games.

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2020 NFL Playoff Predictions: AFC Championship Picks Against The Spread For Titans vs. Chiefs

On defense, Tennessee managed to paralyze New England’s weak offense and then turned Baltimore into a one-dimensional unit by playing from in front for most of the night. For the first time this postseason, though, the Titans are playing a team that doesn’t mind coming from behind and one that is very capable of doing so, as we’ve seen.

We’re talking about a healthy Mahomes and a full complement of weapons at his disposal. With all the storylines surrounding Tennessee, it’s easy to forget this team led the AFC championship with under a minute on the clock last year and has some unfinished business coming into this one. Not to mention that the Titans walked into Arrowhead and beat Kansas City in the 2018 playoffs, led by Henry’s 156 rushing yards.

Truth be told, at BonusSeeker we’ve got Super Bowl 54 futures on Kansas City and have since before the postseason arrived. What’s happened in these playoffs hasn’t changed that the Chiefs are the strongest top-to-bottom club in the conference and home-field advantage with an offense like this one only instill more confidence in a win.

I personally wouldn’t bet on the spread of this game on either side because seven is a tricky number and both teams are on excellent runs against the spread. We can see the Titans keeping this game close enough with its style of play and great game planning, and we could see Kansas City putting its foot on the gas from the get-go this time around.

To its credit, Tennesee has won at Arrowhead before, and belief goes a long way. The Chiefs advance to the Super Bowl, but Tennessee keeps this within eight points for our AFC title game picks. As for the total, this number is being inflated due to the 82 points scored last week, but the under is still 36-23-1 in Chiefs home games since Andy Reid took over.

Pick: Tennessee Titans +7.5 (+100), Under 52 (-110) Make AFC Championship Picks At Fox Bet NJ!

Super Bowl 54 Odds: Looking At Lines For Each Potential 2020 Super Bowl Winner

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The way things currently sit, the Chiefs are the favorites to take home the Lombardi Trophy at +125, coming in with even lower odds than the top overall seed in the NFC in San Francisco. Looking at Super Bowl odds before playoffs, the Titans were the biggest longshots of any playoff club at +5000. That kind of incredible value may be gone, but Tennessee is still the group that can return the most bang for your buck of any available team.

With the 2020 AFC championship game just days away, bettors can lock in the Titans at +700 at Fox Bet PA but may be able to find an enhanced line elsewhere. If signing up with a FanDuel Sportsbook promo code, for example, bettors can get Tennessee at +750 going into Kansas City, where it has already won.

Looking for more information on wagering during the postseason? Check out our NFL playoffs betting guide for tips and strategies about how to win money on the road to Super Bowl 54!

ABOUT Brian Sausa

Brian Sausa is BonusSeeker’s Copy Editor and lead sports betting pundit. A journalism graduate with an extensive sports background, Brian has been employed by multiple professional leagues including MLB, MiLB (Minor League Baseball), and the NHL. MLB, NHL, IBTimes, Brooklyn Cyclones, FanSided