MLB World Series Odds 2019 are out and we are placing our bets. If you are a fan of baseball and going to bet on the Fall Classic you cannot miss our in-depth analysis
After 4,860 regular-season Major League Baseball games and 30 more in the playoffs, there's just one series and two teams left battling for the sport's ultimate prize: the World Series title.
The three-time defending American League champion Houston Astros are taking on the Washington Nationals, a newcomer representing the National League in the Fall Classic for the first time in franchise history.
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2019 World Series Betting Odds
The Nationals had never won a postseason series but find itself in the Fall Classic following its first-ever National League title. The Wild Card winner out of the NL East may be coming off a sweep in the NLCS but finds itself pretty substantial underdogs.
According to the statistical analysis website FiveThirtyEight, the Astros have a 60/40 chance coming away with the trophy again this season. The current +192 odds imply a 34.2 percent expected value for Washington so if the 40 percent projection is correct, the Nationals are a strong bet.
After winning its third American League pennant in as many seasons, 2019 World Series odds at SugarHouse PA show the Astros as heavy -225 favorites. Betting on the Astros means gaining less value and sacrificing more juice on an inflated line in exchange for having the favorite going in.
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Who Will Win The MLB 2019 World Series?
Let's take a look at what both teams have working in their favor and the reasons each team can win the 2019 World Series:
Why Astros Will Win
- Elite Starting Pitching
The most obvious strength of the Astros is on the mound to begin every game. Houston's three-headed monster would likely start six of a possible seven games of this series, with any one of them available to come on in relief if the situation called for all hands on deck.
Gerrit Cole, Justin Verlander, and Zack Greinke make up the deepest front-end starting pitching in baseball. Cole and Verlander are the frontrunners for the AL Cy Young as the only two starters to sport sub-3.00 ERA this season, and they'll start the first two games against Max Scherzer and Stephen Strasburg.
- Better All-Around Team
The Astros are clearly the stronger overall team when you consider all the components such as rotation, bullpen, lineup, and bench depth.
We just discussed the starting pitching, but how about that lineup? There is no easy out top-to-bottom and it has already come up huge this postseason after leading the majors in average and OPS during the regular season.
With the ALCS in the balance, it was 2017 World Series MVP George Springer and Carlos Correa hitting three-run homers at Yankee Stadium in Game 4, then it was Jose Altuve with a walk-off blast to send Houston to the World Series in Game 6. Also batting in the heart of the order is Alex Bregman, another proven playoff performer.
The Astros' Bullpen also had a positive impact on this World Series before it even began. They managed to successfully throw a bullpen game featuring several pitchers in Game 6 of the ALCS, saving Cole, Verlander, and Greinke to set up the pitching perfectly.
- They've Been Here Before
Playing under pressure in high-intensity postseason games is what AJ Hinch and his team have done for three consecutive years.
There isn't an in-game or mid-series situation that the Astroshaven'tbeen forced to deal with and overcome in their run since 2017 and nearly the entire roster knows exactly what it's like playing in the World Series. While it doesn't hand you a victory, having been there before definitely counts for something.
Sure, there's a first time for everything and that's how Washington has to view this. But we can probably agree it's tougher to accomplish something for the first time against an opponent that has been there and done that, as the Astros have.
Why Nationals Can Win
- Starting Rotation Matches Up
The reason the Nationals were able to compile 93 wins and reach the playoffs is a pitching triumvirate of their own consisting of Scherzer, Strasburg, and lefty Patrick Corbin. All three ranked in the top 10 in the National League in ERA this season with Scherzer and Strasburg having strong postseasons as well. This rotation would be the main reason for jumping at the value provided by PA online sports betting sites like SugarHouse.
Even veteran No. 4 starter Anibal Sanchez has been a savior, delivering a one-hit gem after throwing 7.2 innings of a perfect game to begin the NLCS with a win for Washington on the road. For the first time this postseason, Houston has met its match on the mound in the Nationals, which may need its starters coming out of the bullpen in key moments as well.
- They Have No Pressure
The fact is that very few expected the Nationals to be here. First, they were doubted after Bryce Harper left and they were doubted at the beginning of the postseason as well. They've already defied all expectations and are playing free of pressure on the biggest stage in the game.
This franchise has dealt with nothing but playoff heartbreak in recent seasons but now has collected its first two series wins en route to a World Series appearance. The Nationals' confidence should be through the roof after knocking off a 106-win team in the Dodgers and sweeping the St. Louis Cardinals despite not having home-field advantage. They have absolutely nothing to lose and everything to gain.
2019 World Series Predictions: Will Houston Cement The Legacy?
The Astros have a chance to go down as one of the great teams in baseball history, especially recently. Three straight 100-win seasons, three straight trips to the World Series and two titles are certainly enough to cement its place in baseball lore.
The Nationals deserve massive amounts of credit for not only finding a way to win its first two playoff series ever to find itself at this point but dominating in the NLCS to put them in the best position possible to actually win this thing. Not to mention that a team with no pressure on it can be a dangerous one.
In the end, however, the Astros are a different animal and one that completely outclasses the NL teams Washington ousted in order to get here. Houston has superior bullpen and lineup depth that really makes the difference throughout a seven-game series.
The Nationals were able to avoid almost all high-leverage situations for its bullpen and that isn't going to happen again unless Houston is dominated by the starting rotation.
If you're committing to looking for the best value for the series, go with the underdog. Our advice, however, is to gain back some of the value lost with the Houston moneyline by taking the game spread of 1.5 (-106) or taking a shot at an exact series outcome, all of which come with hefty payouts.
2019 World Series Pick: Houston Astros (-225)
Spread Predictions: Astros -1.5 Games (-106)
Total Games Pick: Over 5.5 Games (-177)
Exact Series Outcome: Astros Win Series 4-2 (+300)
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2019 World Series Schedule
With Houston collecting 107 wins during the regular season, it secured the home field throughout the entirety of the playoffs including this series. Here's a look at the entire 2019 World Series schedule:
- Game 1: Nationals at Astros - Tuesday, October 22 at 8:08 pm
- Game 2: Nationals at Astros - Wednesday, October 23 at 8:07 pm
- Game 3: Astros at Nationals - Friday, October 25 at 8:07 pm
- Game 4: Astros at Nationals - Saturday, October 26 at 8:07 pm
- Game 5: Astros at Nationals - Sunday, October 26 at 8:07 pm*
- Game 6: Nationals at Astros - Tuesday, October 28 at 8:07 pm*
- Game 7: Nationals at Astros - Wednesday, October 29 at 8:07 pm*