Brian Sausa, Last Updated: September 16th, 2024 - PA Online Sports Betting | Free $2,000 For Betting In Pennsylvania
The early part of the National Football League season continues with Week 4, so we’re here to analyze NFL betting odds and make some Thursday Night Football predictions!
Historic Lambeau Field will be the setting for an 8:20 PM kickoff on September 26 as the Green Bay Packers (3-0) host the Philadelphia Eagles (1-2) on Thursday Night Football.
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If you’re sports betting at SugarHouse PA, Green Bay is currently 4.5-point favorites over visiting Philadelphia in primetime on Thursday.
Bet On Eagles-Packers At SugarHouse PA
The line opened at most sportsbooks around -2.5 or -3 for the Packers, but initial action quickly drove that line up to where it is now despite the hometown Eagles taking part in the game.
It feels like each week something new plagues the Eagles, which are now 0-3 against the spread after a 27-24 home loss to Detroit.
They overcame bad defense in Week 1, committed three turnovers in Week 2 and most recently, special teams and missed opportunities on offense caused their Week 3 downfall. The line opened at most sportsbooks around -2.5 or -3 for the Packers, but initial action quickly drove that line up to where it is now despite the hometown Eagles taking part in the game.
Philadelphia is still missing key pieces in CB Ronald Darby and WR DeSean Jackson, and may even miss WR Alshon Jeffery once again. Can Carson Wentz carry an undermanned team on both sides to a win (or at least a cover) at Lambeau?
The bad news is that the Packers’ new offense under Matt LaFleur hasn’t clicked yet, but the good news is that the defense has picked up the slack, allowing 35 points in three games.
Green Bay is undefeated on the schedule and against the spread after a second consecutive home win in Week 3, and it’s easy to see them going 4-0 in both categories. Star QB Aaron Rodgers was quoted as saying “At some point, we’re going to have to do our job,” in reference to the offense. He isn’t wrong, but the new-look defense has helped provide some cushion to an evolving unit under a rookie coach.
One team struggling mightily, dealing with injuries and traveling on a short week. The other team has improved in its biggest area of weakness and is finding ways to win despite not playing its best football.
While public action in Pennsylvania could come in on Philadephia due to Eagles fans flooding the market, that can’t be counted on. Given the Packers’ performance so far compared to the Eagles and the fact that the game is at Lambeau, it seems more likely the non-Eagles fan faction of bettors at sports betting sites in PA will actually drive the price up on the home team.
That means if you want the Packers, take them now against the spread before this opens up any more.
This total opened up in the high-40s but has quickly been brought down around 45 (-110), where it stands at SugarHouse PA. All three Thursday games to this point have wound up under to this point, but not all TNF picks and predictions can be of the predictable variety.
Two things are eventually going to happen: the Packers’ offense will kick it into gear and its defense will allow more than 16 points in a game. We can’t be sure this is the night for both, but we’re taking our chances. Once this total dropped from around 48 to where it is now, we’ve been handed a key number of 47.
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Our choice for this week is to eliminate the spread for the Packers and stick with our original choice on the over, which is 45.5 points to avoid a push. In exchange, we receive profitable +180 odds at DraftKings NJ in a game parlay, which is a huge increase in value from where these two lines would be if they were parlayed separately.
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