Another weekend of NFL football is upon us, and we're back with NFL betting picks for Monday Night Football!
One team is bound to grab a win on Monday night at Heinz Field as the Pittsburgh Steelers (0-3) host the Cincinnati Bengals (0-3) in a matchup of AFC North rivals.
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SugarHouse is a multi-state sportsbook brand, exploding rapidly in Pennsylvania after previously becoming one of the top betting sites and real money casinos in NJ. Among their most popular odds are NFL betting lines, which we'll use to make our Monday Night Football picks!
Bengals vs. Steelers - MNF Picks And Predictions Week 4
According to odds from SugarHouse, the Steelers are four-point favorites over the Bengals with the total set at 44 points.
After the line opened with the Steelers around 4.5-point favorites, the number has moved in favor of Cincinnati, with the spread at 3.5 points at some sports betting sites in PA and NJ.
Bengals Betting Preview Week 4
Although the Bengals haven't won a game, they've managed two covers in the first three weeks, both of which came on the road. Doing it again, however, will require fewer mistakes.
The good news is that despite missing WR A.J. Green, Cincinnati QB andy Dalton ranks third among passers in yards so far. The bad news is he's turned the ball over five times, leading to a -4 differential for the team.
Although Pittsburgh hasn't managed a win either, it's defense did get five takeaways last week on the road. Similar results on Monday bode disastrously for the Bengals.
Steelers Betting Preview Week 4
The Steelers' defense has turnover numbers they can cling to, but it doesn't erase that each team it's played has moved the ball with ease. Pittsburgh's pass defense is among the worst in the league, and Cincinnati is fully capable of putting up some points.
On the bright side, the offense should finally have a chance to get RB James Connor going against a Bengals unit that ranks 28th, according to rush defense DVOA stats.
The Steelers need the run game to aid an evolving offense under new QB Mason Rudolph as they adjust to the loss of Big Ben. What Pittsburgh's offense can't afford is to play catch-up or not take advantage of when the defense puts it in great position to score.
Week 4 MNF Bengals vs. Steelers Betting Pick
Judging by what we've seen, picturing the Steelers beating a team by more than a field goal isn't easy. At the same time, what's very easy to see is Andy Dalton turning the ball over on the road and handing some free points to Pittsburgh.
Where we land on this is somewhere right in the middle. The expectation is that the Steelers move the ball on the ground, which helps Rudolph and gives the offense some breathing room. That said, the Bengals have at least proven they know how to hand in games on the road, and we see them losing by a field goal here.
Pick: Bengals +4 (-115) - Place NFL Bets At SugarHouse NJ
Monday Night Football Best Bet For Week 4
This is a contest featuring two desperate teams, so we expect both sides to pull out all the stops offensively and not some conservative game plan.
This will either lead to more points being scored or will force some turnovers, which will lead to points. For that reason, we like the strategy of taking the over in a game between two teams that went under the week prior.
Taking the Steelers on the moneyline allows us to select the home team without fear of the spread, and combining it with the over 44.5 points gives us pretty strong odds of +185 if sports betting at SugarHouse PA or in New Jersey.